[AUTHOR’S NOTE: This was written for The Broad Street Bully, a blog and podcast my friend Drew and I started based off of our mutual interest in the Philadelphia Flyers. See it on http://broadstreetbully.net. This was also posted on http://wildfireradiosports.com in the current way it’s posted here.]
The joke was that with two minutes left in the third, down by four, that Brayden Schenn would net you that extra meaningless powerplay goal to help pad his stats. Now he will be doing that in the West while he plays for the St. Louis Blues.
Does this joke have any validity? Let’s look at Schenn’s relevant stats from 2016-2017 after the jump and use those to make an informed conclusion.
Schenn’s 2016-2017 Important Statistics
- Games Played: 79
- Goals: 25
- Assists: 30
- Total Points: 55
- Game Winning Goals: 7
- Overtime Goals: 2
To do this review the most objective way possible, we looked at the following: every game the Flyers played, the final score, Schenn’s goals and assists, and what time they came in the respective games. The final information is compiled in this easy to read table below:
|GAME||DATE||SCORE||W/L||GOAL(S)||EV/PP/SHG||ASSIST(S)||EV/PP/SHG||GOAL TIMING||ASSIST TIMING|
|7||10/25/16||4-3||W||1||PP||1||PP||Goal made it 2-2||Assist made it 3-3|
|8||10/27/16||5-4||L||1||PP||2||EV, PP||Goal made it 2-2||First assist made it 2-1 Coyotes and second made it 5-4 Coyotes|
|9||10/29/16||5-4||L||x||x||1||EV||x||Assist made it 2-0 Flyers|
|11||11/02/16||4-3||W||x||x||2||EV, EV||x||First assist made it 2-1 Red Wings and second assist made it 3-3|
|14||11/08/16||3-2||L||x||x||1||PP||x||Assist made it 1-0 Flyers|
|16||11/12/16||3-2||W||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 3-2 Flyers||x|
|18||11/17/16||5-2||W||x||x||1||EV||x||Assist made it 4-2 Flyers|
|20||11/22/16||3-1||W||x||x||2||PP, PP||x||First assist made it 2-0 Flyers and second assist made it 3-0 Flyers|
|24||11/29/16||3-2||W||x||x||1||PP||(Shootout attempt was no goal)||Assist made it 2-0 Flyers|
|26||12/03/16||3-1||W||1||EV||x||x||Goal made it 3-1 Flyers||x|
|27||12/04/16||4-2||W||x||x||1||PP||Assist made it 1-0 Flyers|
|30||12/10/16||4-2||W||3||PP, PP, PP||x||x||First goal made it 1-1, second goal made it 2-2, third goal made it 3-2||x|
|31||12/11/16||1-0||W||1||EV||x||x||Goal scored in OT||x|
|32||12/14/16||4-3||W||1||EV||x||x||Goal made it 4-2 Flyers||x|
|37||12/28/16||6-3||L||1||PP||1||PP||Goal made it 3-2 Flyers||Assist made it 1-0 Flyers|
|39||01/01/17||4-3||L||1||PP||1||EV||Goal made it 3-3; GTG||Assist made it 1-1|
|41||01/07/17||4-2||W||x||x||1||EV||x||Assist made it 4-2 Flyers|
|42||01/08/17||2-1||L||1||EV||x||x||Goal made it 1-1||x|
|43||01/10/17||4-1||L||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 4-1 Sabres||x|
|44||01/12/17||5-4||W||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 4-4||x|
|45||01/14/17||6-3||L||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 3-2 Bruins||x|
|48||01/22/17||3-2||W||x||x||2||EV, EV||x||First assist made it 2-1 Islanders and second assist made it 2-2|
|49||01/25/17||2-0||W||x||x||1||PP||x||Assist made it 1-0 Flyers|
|51||01/31/17||5-1||L||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 5-1 Carolina||x|
|52||02/02/17||3-1||W||x||x||1||PP||x||Assist made it 1-1|
|58||02/16/17||6-3||L||1||PP||1||EV||Goal made it 5-3 Oilers||Assist made it 5-2 Oilers|
|59||02/19/17||3-2||W||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 3-0 Flyers||x|
|60||02/22/17||4-1||L||1||EV||x||x||Goal made it 2-1 Capitals||x|
|61||02/25/17||4-2||L||x||x||1||PP||x||Assist made it 3-2 Penguins|
|62||02/28/17||4-0||W||x||x||1||PP||x||Assist made it 3-0 Flyers|
|63||03/02/17||2-1||W||x||x||1||EV||x||Assist made it 1-1|
|68||03/13/17||5-3||L||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 2-2||x|
|69||03/15/17||4-0||W||x||x||2||EV, EV||x||First assist made it 1-0 Flyers and second assist made it 4-0 Flyers|
|70||03/16/17||6-2||L||1||EV||x||x||Goal made it 3-2 Devils||x|
|71||03/19/17||4-3||W||1||EV||x||x||Goal made it 4-3 Flyers in OT||x|
|73||03/23/17||3-1||W||x||x||1||EV||x||Assist made it 1-1|
|75||03/26/17||6-2||W||x||x||1||EV||x||Assist made it 6-2 Flyers|
|76||03/28/17||3-2||W||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 1-1||x|
|77||03/30/17||6-3||W||x||x||2||EV, EV||x||Assist made it 1-0 Flyerrs and second assist made it 2-0 Flyers|
|78||04/01/17||3-0||W||1||PP||x||x||Goal made it 1-0 Flyers||x|
|79||04/02/17||4-3||L||1||EV||x||x||Goal made it 4-2 Rangers||x|
|81||04/08/17||4-2||W||x||x||1||EV||x||Assist made it 2-0 Flyers|
Schenn’s TL;DR Stat Breakdown
17 of Schenn’s 25 goals were scored on the powerplay. That’s 68%. Conversely, 8 of his 25 were even strength. That’s 32%. As far as we can tell, he did not have any short handed goals.
12 of Schenn’s 30 assists were scored on the powerplay. That’s only 40%. Conversely, 18 of his 30 were even strength. That’s 60%. As far as we can tell, he did not have any short handed assists.
Out of Schenn’s 55 total points, 29 were scored on the powerplay. That’s 53%. Conversely, 26 of his 55 were at even strength. That’s 47%.
So, what do these stats mean? It means that Schenn was most productive with his goal scoring when he was on the powerplay. And that makes a lot of sense because you have teammates that include Giroux, Voracek, and Gostisbehere feeding the puck to him with the best opportunity to score because of the open ice. While he did put up some even strength numbers, he made his paycheck on the man advantage.
Not surprisingly, his assist numbers are reversed. His assists were down on the powerplay because he was primarily on the ice to score. But, at even strength, he actually did a pretty decent job of helping the team score. In fact, his thirty assists was fourth on the team behind Giroux, Voracek, and Gostisbehere.
Final Thoughts Regarding Schenn
- Brayden Schenn actually did rely on the powerplay to account for more than half of his points. While losing these powerplay points could affect the Flyers next year, as it stands now, it doesn’t seem likely. The powerplay units will still consist of the primary names (Giroux, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Simmonds). In addition, the Flyers are also slated to add names to the powerplay unit that include Konency, Lindblom, Weal, and Patrick. If these new faces can at least be decent, they would probably replicate, or exceed, Schenn’s production.
- However, Schenn was credited with seven game winning goals and had two overtime goals. However, seven game winning goals is not irreplaceable if split among the young Flyers that will crack the lineup this year.
- Regardless of how many game winning goals he had, two first round picks for him seems like a good haul from the Flyers’ perspective. Travis Hamonic only landed the Islanders one first round pick in a trade with Calgary and he was a far more important piece to his team. There’s been a lot of grumbling about the acquisition of Lehtera but, ultimately, Lehtera’s gone in two years (if Hextall doesn’t trade him sooner). If he’s at least average for two years, then the Flyers part ways with him amicably. That leaves the salary cap space to resign the expiring youth, which there will be a lot of.
- Schenn had a surprising amount of assists. And they were a mix of primary and secondary assists. Again, assuming the youth that the Flyers bring in have average seasons, they should be able to replace Schenn’s numbers.
- The Blues should have an interesting year if they lean on Schenn to play 1C/2C minutes. Maybe the constant minutes at a specific position will ultimately end up benefiting Schenn. The Flyers bounced him around the lineup too much for him to be truly effective at a specific position. Also, if he plays alongside Tarasenko consistently, that should also allow him to play significantly better. It’d be a case of the classic “Chris Kunitz Effect”.
- He played with an edge in his contract year, which is how he got Hextall to sign him to his current deal. Now that he’s been traded, Schenn will probably be out to prove the Flyers wrong so look for him to have a pretty productive year. Where Schenn will be interesting to watch is the long term. Will Schenn have a decent year playing in the West? The teams in the West are generally bigger and also play bigger. It’ll be interesting to see if Schenn is as effective with bigger opponents who can out muscle him. Will the Blues end up stuck with his contract? Or will he flourish playing aside Tarasenko? Whatever the answer is going to be, Hextall felt comfortable enough that he had reached his ceiling in Philadelphia.
After the draft day trade of Brayden Schenn, we’re here to say it’s not the end of the world. 55 points is nothing that can’t be replaced. And Hextall moved a contract that may have been a problem in it’s waning years. Schenn’s play this year was too inconsistent after really giving a good effort to get his contract extension. If his play kept sliding, his five million dollar contract begins to look a lot like Andy MacDonald’s. And we’re all aware how difficult it is to move Andy MacDonald.
So count the Schenn trade as a way to make the team better for now and let’s look forward to next year.
Onward to free agency.